Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.016869 0.018686 0.020517 0.022495 0.024567 0.026669 0.028958
2025-06-01 0.013214 0.016022 0.018976 0.022288 0.025875 0.029623 0.033815
2025-06-08 0.010830 0.014145 0.017751 0.021908 0.026517 0.031428 0.037014
2025-06-15 0.009274 0.012952 0.017072 0.021931 0.027420 0.033355 0.040192
2025-06-22 0.007777 0.011656 0.016133 0.021532 0.027737 0.034539 0.042463
2025-06-29 0.006367 0.010317 0.015027 0.020836 0.027628 0.035170 0.044047
2025-07-06 0.005051 0.008961 0.013793 0.019898 0.027160 0.035330 0.045043
2025-07-13 0.004497 0.008530 0.013644 0.020210 0.028111 0.037073 0.047796
2025-07-20 0.003803 0.007838 0.013116 0.020021 0.028438 0.038072 0.049679
2025-07-27 0.003209 0.007223 0.012641 0.019860 0.028767 0.039049 0.051514
2025-08-03 0.002995 0.007139 0.012845 0.020534 0.030090 0.041174 0.054663
2025-08-10 0.002491 0.006560 0.012354 0.020302 0.030292 0.041970 0.056262
2025-08-17 0.001883 0.005772 0.011584 0.019755 0.030181 0.042491 0.057664
2025-08-24 0.001437 0.005186 0.011070 0.019534 0.030485 0.043528 0.059706
2025-08-31 0.001037 0.004589 0.010485 0.019181 0.030590 0.044303 0.061420
2025-09-07 0.000784 0.004214 0.010197 0.019202 0.031151 0.045612 0.063751
2025-09-14 0.000512 0.003699 0.009646 0.018830 0.031185 0.046266 0.065290
2025-09-21 0.000271 0.003116 0.008925 0.018181 0.030834 0.046426 0.066222
2025-09-28 0.000094 0.002506 0.008082 0.017307 0.030154 0.046154 0.066613
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.002365 0.008045 0.017597 0.031002 0.047771 0.069275
2025-10-12 0.000010 0.002077 0.007707 0.017422 0.031218 0.048590 0.070965
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001821 0.007398 0.017272 0.031455 0.049428 0.072670
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001821 0.007597 0.017900 0.032745 0.051590 0.075989